Criminal Violence in Mexico
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Mexican law enforcement and the military have struggled to curb crime-related violence. In 2018, the number of drug-related homicides in Mexico rose to 33,341, a 15 percent increase from the previous year—and a record high. Moreover, Mexican cartels killed at least 130 candidates and politicians in the lead-up to Mexico’s 2018 presidential elections.
While on the campaign trail, then-candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (often referred to as AMLO) proposed several strategies to combat crime-related violence. After winning the election and assuming office in December 2018, AMLO announced the creation of a new National Guard (a hybrid civilian police and military force) to fight cartels.
Background
In the 1980s, Mexico’s crime groups and drug traffickers became organized, assigning distinct regional areas of control for each group and establishing networks and trafficking routes. However, as production and distribution increased, the groups began fighting for territorial control and access to markets, leading to an increase in violence across Mexico.
The Mexican government officially declared war on criminal organizations in 2006, when former President Felipe Calderon launched an initiative to combat cartels using military force. In 2012, President Enrique Peña Nieto revised the Calderon government’s strategy, shifting efforts away from violent exchanges and toward improving law enforcement capacity and supporting public safety.
However, after the Sinaloa Cartel’s Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzman was arrested in 2014, re-arrested in 2016, and finally extradited to the United States in 2017, a power vacuum was created within the Sinaloa Cartel, resulting in an accompanying increase in violence between rival factions seeking new territory and influence. Moreover, despite an initial decrease in homicides following Peña Nieto’s reforms, Mexico continued to struggle with corruption and crime-related violence. By 2016, drug-related homicides had increased by 22 percent, with more than twenty thousand killed, and in 2017 a mass grave containing the remains of more than 250 victims of crime-related violence was uncovered in Veracruz State. Since 2006, crime-related violence has resulted in an estimated 150,000 deaths.
Recognizing widespread assertions that the use of military force has only increased the level of crime-related violence in Mexico—and accusations that the military has committed human rights abuses and carried out extrajudicial killings—then–presidential candidate AMLO promised on his campaign trail to revolutionize the fight against cartels and revert to a civilian-led police force.
Concerns
In 2007, the George W. Bush administration and Calderon government launched the Merida Initiative to improve U.S.-Mexico cooperation on security and rule of law issues in Mexico, and support for the initiative has continued under the Donald J. Trump administration. According to the U.S. Drug Enforcement Agency, Mexican cartels represent the greatest drug-related threat, supplying heroin, marijuana, methamphetamines, and other drugs, to the United States. Criminal and drug trafficking organizations threaten to undermine the strength and legitimacy of the Mexican government, an important U.S. regional partner, as well as harm civilian populations in both countries.
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Criminal Violence in Mexico
Criminal Violence in Mexico






Background Articles
Christine Murray Reuters April 29, 2020
Sandra Weiss Deutsche Welle April 26, 2020
David Agren Guardian April 3, 2020
Peter Orsi Associated Press March 18, 2020
Mark Stevenson Associated Press March 18, 2020
Scott Englund War on the Rocks February 24, 2020
Kevin Sieff Washington Post February 7, 2020
Paul Imison World Politics Review February 5, 2020
BBC October 24, 2019
David Alire Garcia Reuters October 22, 2019
Falko Ernst International Crisis Group October 22, 2019
Scott Stewart Stratfor October 8, 2019
Ioan Grillo and Miles Ellingham Vice October 7, 2019
Kate Linthicum Los Angeles Times October 6, 2019
Jeremy Kryt Daily Beast September 15, 2019
Lizbeth Diaz Reuters September 13, 2019
Stephen Woodman and Christopher Woody Business Insider September 12, 2019
Stratfor September 9, 2019
June S. Beittel Congressional Research Service August 15, 2019
Jeremy Kryt Daily Beast July 21, 2019
Adam Taylor Washington Post July 18, 2019
Azam Ahmed New York Times July 17, 2019
Stratfor July 11, 2019
Clare Ribando Seelke Congressional Research Service June 28, 2019
Falko Ernst International Crisis Group June 3, 2019
Laura Weiss World Politics Review May 16, 2019
Deborah Bonello Vice May 7, 2019
John Holman Al Jazeera May 7, 2019
Justice in Mexico April 2019
International Crisis Group April 19, 2019
Vanda Felbab-Brown Brookings Institution March 2019
Paul Imison Foreign Policy March 1, 2019
Steven Dudley Foreign Affairs February 27, 2019
World Politics Review February 15, 2019
Parker Asmann InSight Crime January 16, 2019
Paul Imison World Politics Review December 3, 2018
International Crisis Group November 30, 2018
Nathaniel Parish Flannery Forbes November 6, 2018
International Crisis Group October 11, 2018
Denise Dresser Foreign Affairs September/October 2018
Vanda Felbab-Brown Foreign Affairs September 27, 2018
Clare Ribando Seelke Congressional Research Service May 17, 2018
The Economist May 9, 2018
Jude Webber Financial Times March 23, 2018
Gladys I. McCormick and Matthew R. Cleary Foreign Affairs March 22, 2018
Guadalupe Correa-Cabrera, Viridiana Rios, Gema Kloppe-Santamaria, Gabriela Capo Ramirez, Luz Paula Parra, and Eric L. Olson Wilson Center February 4, 2018
Geopolitical Futures January 25, 2018
Eli Meixler Time January 22, 2018
Michael Robinson Chavez and Nick Kirkpatrick Washington Post December 29, 2017
Tony Prayan Baker Institute for Public Policy December 18, 2017
June S. Beittel Congressional Research Service November 8, 2017
Jennifer Bejar and Michael Wilson Becerril Washington Post September 29, 2017
Andrew Rennemo World Politics Review September 26, 2017
Kirck Semple New York Times September 16, 2017
Azam Ahmed New York Times August 4, 2017
Gabriel Stargardter Reuters July 21, 2017
Kaitlin Lavinder Cipher Brief July 12, 2017
Robbie Whelan Wall Street Journal July 5, 2017
Duncan Tucker BBC July 5, 2017
Clare Ribando Seelke and Kristin Finklea Congressional Research Service June 29, 2017
Sofia Lotto Persio Newsweek June 26, 2017
Lizzie Wade Science Magazine June 26, 2017
Carrie Kahn NPR June 25, 2017
Joshua Partlow The Washington Post May 30, 2017
Carrie Kahn NPR May 16, 2017
NPR May 10, 2017
Kirk Semple New York Times December 13, 2016
Christopher Woody Business Insider November 23, 2016
Institute for Economics & Peace April 2016
Greg Flakus Voice of America September 8, 2016
InSight Crime
Clark Mindock International Business Times August 15, 2016
InSight Crime August 11, 2016
Nathaniel Janowitz Vice News July 25, 2016
Christopher Woody Business Insider July 27, 2016
Nina Lakhani Guardian July 27, 2016
Stephanie Leutert Lawfare Blog July 20, 2016
Open Society Justice Initiative June 2016
Daniela Pastrana Inter Press Service May 18, 2016
Mike LaSusa InSight Crime May 12, 2016
Stratfor
Los Angeles Times
Stratfor January 25, 2016
Latest CFR Analysis
Carlos Galina CFR In Brief January 24, 2020
Shannon K. O'Neil Bloomberg October 23, 2019
Brianna Lee, Danielle Renwick, and Rocio Cara Labrador CFR Backgrounder October 22, 2019
Shannon K. O'Neil Bloomberg July 9, 2019
CFR Podcast, "The President's Inbox" June 8, 2018
CFR Timeline
International Institutions and Global Governance CFR Global Governance Monitor
Primary Sources
U.S. Department of Justice Drug Enforcement Administration October 2018
U.S. Department of State
U.S. Department of State April 07, 2017
Department of State February 24, 2017
June S. Beittel Congressional Research Service July 22, 2015
U.S. Department of State May 8, 2015
CFR Experts
Vice President, Deputy Director of Studies, and Nelson and David Rockefeller Senior Fellow for Latin America Studies